Andre Gomes

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Detroit  at Oklahoma City 
 
 
Play: Single Dime Play on Under 213
Score: Play #2
Comments:  NBA - 509 Detroit Pistons @ 510 Oklahoma City Thunder

Play #2

I understand that we are taking some risks in taking the Under w/ DET in this season because so far, DET O/U mark in the season is 55-26 OVER (68% hitting rate!).

However, I believe that this is a good opportunity for us and we are getting an inflated line IMO. First of all, OKC needs to win to secure the #2 seed in the West but this isn’t going to be that difficult against this pathetic DET team.

Probably, Durant & Westbrook will start but I don’t expect them to play so many minutes like they did @NO (more than 40minutes!)! We should see a heavy dose of OKC’s bench and this is why I really the Under in here:

1) Obviously, there will be a considerable drop off in terms of offensive efficiency without Westbrook & Durant and this will help DET’s defense

2) OKC’s have some great size on the bench to matchup vs. DET’s frontcourt… Collison, Adams and even Thabeet will give some size to OKC and so, DET’s won’t punish OKC down low & boards like they are used to do.

My fair line for this contest is 208/210 points and so, I'm taking the Under in here!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 509/510 Under 213 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
 
Chicago  at Charlotte 
 
 
Play: Single Dime Play on Charlotte (-1)
Score: Play #4
Comments:  NBA - 521 Chicago Bulls @ 522 Charlotte Bobcats

Play #4

Today’s card is pretty specific as not only we have to be focused on the matchups but also (and especially) w/ injuries, “taking” or playoff seeding!

When the Bulls faced the Knicks, I took NYK w/ the following mindset:

Unfortunately for us, the Pacers have defeated the Thunder today and basically they locked up the #1 seed on the East. They “just” need to beat the Magic on the final day of the regular season to have the home court edge throughout the playoffs – their primary goal for the season.

So, what in the hell I’m talking about this in here?!

With the Pacers being the #1 seed, the Bulls can “choose” between facing the Pacers or the Heat @ 2nd round and between us, the answer is pretty easy to guess, right? They just “need” to let TOR be the #3 seed…

For this contest, I expect the Bulls to be more “relaxed”

Well, the Bulls indeed lose that game and the Raptors took over the #3 seed… Note that this contest is @7PM EST while the Raptors game is @8PM EST, so I expect the Bulls to not be that “much focused” vs. CHA who still have a legit chance to be #6 seed and avoid the Heat in the first round.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 522 Charlotte Bobcats (-1) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline